Monday, June 22, 2020
TKC EXCLUSIVE!!! CRIME EXPERT FEARS KANSAS CITY FALLING DOWN 'DETROIT CRIME DEATH SPIRAL' AFTER DEADLY WEEKEND, VIOLENT PROTEST & BUDGET CUTS TARGETING POLICE!!!
Over the weekend Kansas City endured a spate of gunfire and two more homicides.
Accordingly, a local crime expert offers his perspective on a worsening situation . . .
RISING VIOLENCE AND BACKLASH AGAINST POLICE THREATENS TO SEND KANSAS CITY DOWN THE SAME PATH OF DESTRUCTION & BANKRUPTCY ENDURED BY DETROIT!!!
Here's the analysis, research and insight from one of the top crime experts in the region who sends this EXCLUSIVE word to our blog . . .
Dr. Ernest Evans: Kansas City and the "Detroit Crime Death Spiral"
Kansas City, Missouri and a number of the nation's great cities seem to be caught up in what I call "The Detroit Crime Death Spiral." In KCMO we have had 84 homicides so far in 2020--the highest number of recorded homicides in KCMO was 153 in 1993. In Chicago the city has had 25 homicides in the past week--in the whole month of June 2019 there were 47 homicides in Chicago; as of June 21, 2020 there have been 56 homicides in Chicago in June 2020. In Baltimore there were 20 homicides in April 2020--in May 2020 there were 39 homicides and as of June 20, 2020 there have been 24 homicides in Baltimore. In Philadelphia there were an average of one homicide a day in 2019--in the past 17 days there have been 34 homicides in Philadelphia.
So, what exactly is the "Detroit Crime Death Spiral?" In 1950 Detroit was a city of two million people. Now it is a city of 700,000 people and falling fast: 200,000 people moved out of the city in the past decade. In 1967 there was a terrible riot in Detroit--by the time it was all over, 47 people had died. The city's political class went on a police-bashing frenzy. Local cops began leaving the force and going to neighboring towns, applications to the police force went down sharply, and crime began to surge. With crime rising sharply, businesses and population moved out, undermining the city's tax base--so there was no money to upgrade and strengthen the police force. So, crime surged some more, people and businesses continued to leave, yada, yada, yada.
In Detroit today there are a huge number of abandoned but magnificent old homes that the city will sell for a dollar to anyone willing to move in and repair the homes. But, few people are taking up the offer. And, Why? In Detroit the city's police force is so understrength and demoralized that it takes an average of 58 minutes from the time someone calls 911 to the time the police arrive at your home or business. Families and business people are not going to take risks like that for their families or their employees, so they stay out of Detroit.
There is no reason, I repeat no reason, why this sort of "death spiral" cannot take place in KCMO. The KCPD is 200 officers smaller than it was in calendar year 2013--the last year before the Ferguson tragedy of August 9, 2014. KCPD morale is hurting badly--a huge number of officers and their families have applied to start counseling. If cops start leaving the KCPD and going to other cities, and if those left behind are too discouraged to do their jobs we could end up starting the destruction of the city as we know it just the way Detroit has been destroyed.
In conclusion, in 1935 the famous US novelist Upton Sinclair wrote a novel entitled "It Can't Happen Here." It was the story of how a dictator took over the US. Most of the political elite in KCMO naively believes that what happened in Detroit "can't happen here.' They are wrong, it can happen here. I fully, fully support reforms to end the sort of terrible tragedies we saw in the death of George Floyd, but the sort of frenzied police bashing we have been seeing here in KCMO is not going to end such tragedies--it is only going to destroy the rule of law in cities all over America, including quite possibly our great city of Kansas City, Missouri.
Developing . . .