TKC BREAKING AND EXCLUSIVE NEWS!!! EXPERT KANSAS CITY HOMICIDE RATE ANALYSIS REVEALS DROP IN OTHER FORMS OF VIOLENT CRIME IS MISLEADING!!!
Dr. Ernest Evans is one of the most thoughtful, captivating and knowledgeable experts on the study of violent crime in Kansas City.
Accordingly . . .
A SPECIAL THANKS TO DR. EVANS ON HIS EXPERT ANALYSIS OF KANSAS CITY VIOLENT CRIME TRENDS MYTHBUSTING CLAIMS THAT OTHER VIOLENT OFFENSES ARE DECREASING AS THE MURDER COUNT SPIKES!!!
Better than rhetoric, promises or political gestures . . . Dr. Evans offers stats and data to back up his assertions.
Additionally . . .
TONIGHT'S LESSON FROM DR. EVANS FEATURES A RACIAL BREAKDOWN OF LOCAL CRIME AND WARNS OF A CRISIS IN KANSAS CITY'S AFRICAN-AMERICAN COMMUNITY!!!
The numbers are staggering and it's important to address this crisis in no uncertain terms. Again, a special thanks to Dr. Evans for offering stats and data in one of the most informed passages we've seen on Kansas City violent crime and homicide to date.
Check it:
Grim Crime Milestone In KCMO
As of Sept. 30, 2013 there have been 86 homicides in calender year 2013 in KCMO--compared to 80 at this point in 2012. When you break down this figure of 86 homicides by race, you see a disturbing trend: Of those 86 homicides, 63 are black and 23 are other races.
To understand why the city should be concerned about this racial breakdown of the 2013 homicides you have to go back several years. Starting in 2006, most cities in the US began to experience declines in their homicide totals. KCMO in 2006 and 2007 was part of that pattern: In 2006 we had 106 homicides, in 2007 we had 94--62 black and 32 other races. But then in 2008 a disturbing new pattern emerges: In every year since 2007 we have had a higher number of black homicides than we had in 2007, but a lower number of homicides of other races. As I said, right now we are at 63 black homicides and 23 homicides for other races--so. with three months left in the year we are already higher in 2013 than the total number of black homicides in all of 2007.
The surge in black homicides that KCMO began to experience in early 2008 appears to be continuing, despite a series of vigorous city programs to combat crime. And, while apologists for the city have pointed to the decline in other forms of violent crime in black neighborhoods since the spring of 2008, these stats should be approached with caution.
It has long been clear to students of crime that homicide stats and stats for other forms of violent crime are inversely related: When homicide stats go up, other forms of violent crime "fall"--they do not really fall, it is just that the criminal elements and the gangs have become so powerful that people are afraid to report violent crimes. Classic case: Chicago in 2012. In 2012 Chicago had a homicide bloodbath--500 homicides in that year, compared to 419 in NYC, a city three times as big as Chicago. Yet, in the midst of this homicide bloodbath, other forms of violent crime in Chicago "fell." I very much doubt that they fell--what really happened is that the citizens were so terrified of the surge of violence that they were afraid to report crimes for fear of retaliation. I am confident that the same thing has been happening the the black neighborhoods of KCMO since the spring of 2008. Put simply, since April of 2008 there has been a true crime disaster in the black neighborhoods of KCMO.
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Impressive.
ReplyDeleteNow we have to figure out how to stop it.
Thank you Dr. Evans.
As long as they're niggers - no big deal
ReplyDeleteCrisis? What crisis?
ReplyDeleteGood statistics, but if you want to keep negroes from raising hell and killing each other, put them in the pen under 24 hour supervision. It's the only thing that will work. Since that's not gonna happen, let them kill each other off and quit throwing my tax dollars at more worthless "programs."
ReplyDeleteAll hell will break loose sooner than later when
ReplyDeletethe negro (likely more than one)
Fucks with,picks
On (scares) the
White man with
Ccw and gets his
Black ass, deservedly,shot
off.
Coming soon.
agree. it is only more guns from legal owners that will fix this, not less. but sly james and city hall wants to takes our rights away.
ReplyDeleteToy train is gonna fix all of this.
ReplyDeleteWhere are the city's black leadership on this?
ReplyDeleteA big problem that goes unmentioned is that police frequently downgrade felony crime in order to reduce casework and keep the money machine working in city court. A classic example is retail theft where patrolmen routinely change felony thefts by customers and employees to misdemeanor cases because the dicks and patrolmen are frequently too fucking lazy to respond or work the case. This happens probably daily in this city.
ReplyDeleteWhat city are you living in? That's so far off base and inaccurate you must have seen that on t.v. somewhere.
DeleteUm....BS.
DeleteIt's looking pretty bleak for KC nowadays. Maybe that is why people only want to talk about the Chiefs game. LOL!
ReplyDelete6:45 there's more truth in that than anything posted here inv days.Bread and circuses while Rome burns. Nobody gives a fuck about much except fantasy football, getting drunk and getting laid.
ReplyDeleteThat's why we live in the totalitarian oligarchy that we deserve!!!
Delete"KCMO began to experience in early 2008"..... really? Does Kansas City have a police department. Thought we voted for a public safety sales tax, new patrol cars,a new helicopter, a new training academy, a new patrol division, a renovated crime lab. And after all these years and millions of dollars what does Kansas City have to show for?
ReplyDeleteTht's why an increase in taxes should always be voted down, because the rule of the game in the U.S. on any level of government is corruption. Government must be overthrown on all levels in the U.S. before any legitimate efforts towards 'progress' can be made.
Delete***NEWS FLASH***
ReplyDeleteAny statistical data published by the City of Kansas City or the Kansas City Star is bound to be inaccurate and completely unreliable, at best.
Politicians are never honest. It's pre-requisite for getting the popular vote.
...red light cams?
ReplyDeleteThese reports get twist and turned all around based on what the author wants you to believe. But the real kicker is in the end if the real truth comes out nobody pays any attention to it anyway.
ReplyDeleteall dis nigga wants is ma weed, ma ho's, ma drank an sum crack an life be good. cept when sum otha nigga be fukin wif me and git he ass shot up an end up ded on de street. dont fuk wif me nigga o you gnna be ded ded ded.
ReplyDeleteWelcome to the Sly/Obama era. Thanks you for voting. You won't have to again.
ReplyDeleteErnest Evans, Ph.D.
ReplyDeleteDr. Evans, as I've chastised you previously, your "statistics" don't add up! How ironic, that as a preface to your remarks Tony even reminds readers of the statistical pitfalls of "rhetoric, promises, or political gestures.."
While you gave us the numbers:
86 homicides YTD, of which 63 were black victims and 23 "other".....nearly everything else is worthless.
You didn't include such pertinent information as:
1)KC total population by race, as a percentage of the total
2)KC employment levels for each race
3) Perpetrator of the homicide (when identified) by race.
4) Circumstances such as a serial killer active during a calendar year, a surge in drug violence, unusually hot summer weather, etc.
The list could go on for quite some time.
"It has long been clear to students of crime that homicide stats and stats for other violent crime are inversely related.." Did you think you could just slip that unsubstantiated statement in there without a challenge?
Chicago? NYC? I thought you were writing about KCMO? Stay on topic.
"--what really happened is that citizens were so terrified of the surge of violence that they were afraid to report crimes for fear of retaliation. I am confident that the same thing has been happening in the black neighborhoods of KCMO since the spring of 2008." Your Honor, I object! Dr. Evans is dealing in speculation, innuendo, and personal opinion here. Where are the facts?
Summary: Despite the information, or lack thereof, provided by Dr. Evans, for all we know, in one of the years cited there may have been a busload of schoolchildren purposely driven off a cliff......or maybe there was a prolific serial killer on the prowl....or even a time period when a new powerful narcotic hit the streets of the inner city. Dr. Evans has NOT made his case. The prosecution rests.
This is what Lyndon Johnson's Great Society has done for the black community. Thanks to entitlements we have created a completely dysfunctional underclass living like animals in a sewer. And yes, the only defense civil society has is to arm itself and fight back. Only by administering street justice will there be any improvement. George Zimmerman was ahead of his time, and things will be better when indeed many, many black youths become Trayvon.
ReplyDeleteUnfortunately, 8:39 is dead on the money.
ReplyDeleteThese fucking niggers have been acting like this for years now, and these most recent statistics just heighten the point. What to do about it? Well, slavery was what brought these animals among us, maybe that what's need to send them back? They will NOT assimilate into a civilized world and all the programs and money won't change that fact. Sure, there are a few decent blacks but damned few. They're simply throwbacks.
ReplyDeleteanonymous at 6:30pm
ReplyDeleteyou have NO idea what you're talking about.
when there is a retail theft, a stealing, to use your example there is a particular monetary value that must be reached before the prosecutors will file the case as a "state" felony case. Or if the suspect has a past record of a certain # of prior stealing convictions.
the officers and detectives don't really have a choice on what prosecutors will and won't file.
and of course Clay and Platte County prosecutors will be more inclined to file a felony on borderline cases than would Jackson County prosecutors.
there's absolutely NO conspiracy by officers or detectives to earn revenue for the city by, according to your accusation, reducing would-be felonies and putting them in municipal court.
i could solve KC's crime problem tomorrow. end probation and parole for violent felonies. do the crime serve the time.
we have people with dozens of felony convictions still getting off on probation even sometimes when their already ON probation. so in a sense they get double and triple secret probation.
it's a travesty that liberal do gooders think that sociopaths can be rehabilitated. a few could be. most can't. and fewer still even want to be.
Ernest Evans, you need to understand correlation and causation. You have mistaken one for the other in your analysis. Also, look up observation vs. conclusion. Another mistake in your analysis.
ReplyDeleteAlvin Brooks dead body is stinking up Kansas City. Bury him already. He already looks like the walking dead.
ReplyDeleteThe niggers have fucked up KC and it's not statistics, surveys or some other scholastic bullshit, it's niggers! Nothing will change that fact either. Niggers are a cancer on society and should be encouraged to do the right thing and eliminate themselves.
ReplyDeleteIts not going to be white boys with ccw shooting people. It is going to be a woman with a ccw. There are groups of women who teach school or work in education that all have ccw's. I happen to know someone who teaches ccw in kansas. Ever since that horrible school shooting on the east coast, school teachers took the summer off and got ccw. Its been great for kansas and ccw teachers. It's not going to be a next george zimmerman, its going to be a gina zimmerman. Seriously, don't screw with scared women, they want to shoot. Beware of the big handbags, because they usually have snub nose pistols in there. Another funny story. A certain grocery store in JO was being robbed at the service desk. When the robber turned his gun on the shoppers in the check out, 3 ladies pulled out their guns. So the big man with the gun ran away from the store. So in the future, its going to be a woman, a woman scared for her child or children, a woman who doesn't want to deal with this issue and got the gun because they were scared of crime. Statistics show most of us will be a victim of black crime at least once in our lives. Most of the time it is twice. Can you blame people for wanting a ccw?
ReplyDeleteNow, back to the stats guy. Yes, but chicago had and still has its own special set of issues that led up to their problems. See, I've been alive awhile, and remember the 90's and how horrible it was back then with KC homicides. A historical perspective would be better.
Now I can stick all the cheap grad school analysis tag lines and buzzwords on here that you want, but its all good. No really, its all good because drugs are bad, kids. They are a straight ticket to a special kind of self-inflicted hell.
I could be nasty and say its a self cleaning oven (which it is), I could be a bigger person and cry out for the shame of the dissolving of the black family (sorry). I do not like the stop snitching culture, and I do not see the purpose in aiding people who may murder you someday.
If there was an element of shame in going to jail, in not taking care of your kids, in not going to school that would help. Cameras are good as well.
If you think this number is high, imagine if the negroes had better aim?
ReplyDelete