Saturday, April 18, 2020

SHOW-ME PEAK COROANVIRUS MODEL PAST AND ADJUSTED FOR MISSOURI!!!

A sign of progress and social distancing working in pushing back pandemic numbers . . .

"The revisions led the IHME to predict a steep drop in total deaths from COVID-19's first wave in Missouri. The IHME now predicts 362 deaths by August 4, down from the 1,731 deaths it reported earlier this week. State leaders have said they are "cautiously optimistic" about the health of the state."

Read more:

Group revises Missouri COVID-19 prediction, says state past peak for deaths - ABC17NEWS

COLUMBIA, Mo. (KMIZ) A widely-cited COVID-19 prediction model believes Missouri is past the peak for daily deaths. The Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation said that Missouri's peak for daily deaths occurred April 14. While the IHME said it projected 26 deaths that day, the Department of Health and Senior Services reported 19 deaths statewide.

17 comments:

Anonymous said...

The "peak" for the first of many waves. The virus isn't going anywhere. The virus is highly contagious.

Anonymous said...

Most of us were right.

Homicides will exceed corona virus deaths in the KC Metro area.

600,000 Americans die each year of cancer. Corona Virus hysteria was driven by the media.

Here's what Dave said...

Is history about to be repeated? Do the so called experts knows as mush as they claim to know? Could we see the same thing happen again here 102 years later? You or I have no idea and you can bet our world leaders don't either. Here is a fast run down from 1918 via the history books.

When the Spanish flu first appeared in early March 1918, it had all the hallmarks of a seasonal flu, albeit a highly contagious and virulent strain. One of the first registered cases was Albert Gitchell, a U.S. Army cook at Camp Funston in Kansas, who was hospitalized with a 104-degree fever. The virus spread quickly through the Army installation, home to 54,000 troops. By the end of the month, 1,100 troops had been hospitalized and 38 had died after developing pneumonia.

Reported cases of Spanish flu dropped off over the summer of 1918, and there was hope at the beginning of August that the virus had run its course. In retrospect, it was only the calm before the storm. Somewhere in Europe, a mutated strain of the Spanish flu virus had emerged that had the power to kill a perfectly healthy young man or woman within 24 hours of showing the first signs of infection.

From September through November of 1918, the death rate from the Spanish flu skyrocketed. In the United States alone, 195,000 Americans died from the Spanish flu in just the month of October. And unlike a normal seasonal flu, which mostly claims victims among the very young and very old, the second wave of the Spanish flu exhibited what’s called a “W curve”—high numbers of deaths among the young and old, but also a huge spike in the middle composed of otherwise healthy 25- to 35-year-olds in the prime of their life.

That really freaked out the medical establishment.

The rapid spread of Spanish flu in the fall of 1918 was at least partially to blame on public health officials unwilling to impose quarantines during wartime. In Britain, for example, a government official named Arthur Newsholme knew full well that a strict civilian lockdown was the best way to fight the spread of the highly contagious disease. But he wouldn’t risk crippling the war effort by keeping munitions factory workers and other civilians home.

By December 1918, the deadly second wave of the Spanish flu had finally passed, but the pandemic was far from over. A third wave erupted in Australia in January 1919 and eventually worked its way back to Europe and the United States.

The mortality rate of the third wave was just as high as the second wave, but the end of the war in November 1918 removed the conditions that allowed the disease to spread so far and so quickly. Global deaths from the third wave, while still in the millions, paled in comparison to the apocalyptic losses during the second wave.

Anonymous said...

So how many models so far have been correct so far.

Hint: None

And the serfs continue to eat it all up.

Anonymous said...

Dave makes a good point and I agree I don't think anyone of these experts for sure have a clue. How do you predict what and how a virus will act and behave? Do you error on the side of caution and go full out lockdown or do you let the masses fend for themselves?

This shit ain't Trumps fault anymore than it's the democrats fault. No matter what happens people will ignore it and bitch if the gov's act to strictly and then bitch if they do nothing.

People are just incline to do nothing but piss and moan anymore while saying their well being is totally someone elses responsibility all the time till someone tries and tell them what to do then they rebel.

Anonymous said...

Fake media plague bought and paid for by the dem globalists...stay scared.

Byron Funkhouser said...

...like talking to little children.

Retro ROCKER said...

Remember the World is one GREAT HOAX. Yes the virus is affecting many people. Within the next few weeks ago the media will be reporting a new national problem. Many won't believe. For some reason they want you to stay in your home and children not in school. I know they have been installing many 5G,networks. And this has more to do with Than,Covid.They have destroyed people and small business. Wallstreet gets the trillions in bailout And Main Street go out of business .

Anonymous said...

You simply refuse to understand that highly infectious deseases would be far worse without social sistancing. Why the stupidity act, if it is an act?

Anonymous said...

If we don't know everything then we don't know anything!

Anonymous said...

Haha yea. But the deniers need to talk to their elders. One last time.

Anonymous said...

What New York Looked Like During the 1918 Flu Pandemic https://www.nytimes.com/2020/04/02/nyregion/spanish-flu-nyc-virus.html
"The Spanish flu raced through crowded tenements and neighborhoods... Most school children lived in tenements, “frequently unsanitary and crowded,”...."

Anonymous said...

You simply refuse to understand that "social distancing" to prevent spread of illness is not new and people understand the concept. Why the patronizing act, if it is an act?

Anonymous said...

or at least people who went to school and learned about germ theory understand it.

Anonymous said...

7:06 has cooties, stay away!!

Anonymous said...

No one cares what you say or comment, Byron. You’re a stupid joke. Everyone is disgusted by you and your welfare-cheating ways and the way you faked being disabled to get government cheese. Your opinion means less than nothing so go away.

Anonymous said...

Byron, don’t you have a disability to fake to garner a few bucks? Now run along.