Celebrate: Guy Who Didn't Predict Trump Win & Flubbed Missouri Polling Makes Kansas City Chiefs Super Bowl Prediction
Nate Silver is almost NEVER right but that doesn't stop mainstream media from adoring his vague statistical pronouncements. Take a look: Chiefs have fourth best odds to win Super Bowl, FiveThirtyEight says
As usual, Tony, you demonstrate your lack of intellectual ability. Silver's model actually showed Trump with a low chance of winning, not no chance. The statistical model was sound, began narrowing in the final days, and basically came down to 2% of the popular vote shifting in one direction. It was a close election, Silver doesn't pretend to be 100% accurate, no statistical model is, much like the global warming models. Silver's record is fairly sound, but, his site isn't filled with half-naked women and has large quantities of words, so you know, your brain probably hurts.
ReplyDeleteOk, so basically there was no way for Nate to be wrong. There was always a chance for him to be right. A proposition that is unfalsifiable is without value. Enough words for you, tiger? :)
DeleteOh, and it wasn't a close election at all. Nate, like almost every other media putz, simply got it wrong.
He was too scared to say it outright. Silver is a fraud like most of the people out there peddling fake numbers.
ReplyDeleteNo one question the polling data. When they knocked on a door in s Democratic district and two people said they were voting for Trump then that an indicator they need reconfigure the power polls. I drove out to Denver and saw 4 billboards each way for Trump. I saw no billboards for Hillary? Billboards aren't as effective as yard signs but it was an indicator Hillary wasn't as strong as the polls said. HRC completely gave up on Midwest .I guess flyover country came back to bite her? Maybe it's the end of neoliberalism?
ReplyDeleteAll the polls were wrong
ReplyDelete