Wednesday, August 28, 2013
Craig Glazer Celebrates Football Season!!!
TKC NOTE: Tonight, our pal Craig Glazer reveals more than a bit of sports betting insight along with tribute to the upcoming football season. Check it:
NFL is here!
Let the Fun begin!
Well sports fans, the time has arrived for you to go online, make your phone calls and pick your winners for both the NFL and NCAA football. Who better to help pick the winners than Kansas City’s number one prognosticator extraordinaire, me, Craig Glazer, your buddy. As many of you that have followed me on other sites know, my winning percentage is 73 percent over the last three seasons. Unlike other Kansas City pickers in the KC media, like the boys at 610 and 810 radio and the handful you see on ESPN and Fox, your humble narrator puts his money where his mouth is and keeps track of his wins and losses all season. This isn’t the Good Ole Boy system. That means I’m not here to pick our local teams to do better than we know they can. One of my favorite teams to bet against the last four years has been the Kansas City Chiefs. Until recently, they have been one of the worst teams in the NFL. Yes, they had the big upset over Green Bay over two years, but I took the Chiefs and the points on a tease and won. Now, how does this work? I am going to give you my inside scoop. We will use the money line, the tease, and sometimes just the point spread to pick winners. My job is to try and help you make a few extra bucks this fall in football. Remember, you can’t win ‘em all. If you are going to bet real money, you should limit the amount of games you pick. My job is to find mismatches and go after those games. It is not my job to make locals happy by picking their team to win when they just are not going to.
An important note: We all know gambling is not legal in most situations. Having said that, we know everyone does it from office pools, radio announcers betting between themselves on air and the like. Even online betting is illegal in most situations. If you are going to be serious about your bets you should do what I do and fly to Las Vegas and bet at the casinos where three things are true. First, it’s legal. Second, if you win, you will get paid immediately. Finally, Vegas has a ton of fun things to do besides gambling. There are several other cities where it’s legal like Atlantic City and Reno but Vegas is the best. I will be there opening weekend of the NFL season. I will attempt to make this my fifth straight year of opening weekend victories.
In the past there have been some great mismatches, nearly lock bets. You had one of the top three teams in the NFL, the Atlanta Falcons, playing one of the worst teams in the NFL, the Kansas City Chiefs. The Chiefs were a three point underdog, but played their best first half of the year and made me nervous. I remember I called my brother Jeff at half-time saying, ‘Uh Oh, KC may cover this game or win.’ Jeff replied, ‘Craig they are the Chiefs, they’ll miss a field goal, fumble and get intercepted, likely in that order.’ That is almost exactly what happened as Atlanta crushed Kansas City in the second half. The other big game was taking the playoff bound Colts over the Chiefs at Arrowhead near the end of the season. The Chiefs were a six and a half point underdog. Andrew Luck had his Colts on the Chiefs eight yard line; third and goal; in a tied game. There was just over two minutes left to go so this would be the Colts final shot at a touchdown. Of course, Luck hit his receiver in the corner of the end-zone, they win by seven and the Colts cover. Now that was exciting!
You always want to ride your hot power teams early in the season. Example, Alabama will cover over eighty percent of the time regardless of the spread. I have identified five NFL teams as horrible. The present line up of stinkers goes like this: The New York Jets, The Oakland Raiders, Jacksonville Jaguars, Buffalo Bills and perhaps the San Diego Chargers. A couple NFL teams moving up the food chain should be the Houston Texans, the Indianapolis Colts and Green Bay. My feelings about our Chiefs are mixed. They are a six to nine game winning team and should defeat the Jaguars opening day in Jacksonville. The Jags will likely win four or less games all year.
This will be my main posting location picking games just before the weekend, both college and pro. I will be posted on a couple of other sites, but this will be my home site. We will use the tease often, which means picking two games where you can move the spread six points one way or the other, you must win both games to win. This is one of the most popular betting tools both in Vegas and most on-line locations. Anyone telling you it isn’t has never made a big time bet in their life. Let’s have some fun! Let the games begin!
One more thing, remember, you can’t win ‘em all. I am not telling you to bet your hard earned money on anything. I’m just giving you advice.