TKC BREAKING AND EXCLUSIVE NEWS!!! CRIME EXPERT DR. ERNEST EVANS BREAKS DOWN TRENDING KANSAS CITY VIOLENCE!!!



While the conclusions in this passage might spark debate, there's no doubting the expertise and insight for Dr. Ernest Evans who offers evidence and statistical research along with law enforcement testimony to inform his analysis.

This Saturday, here is the latest update from this local expert as the violent local holidays approach. Take a look:

Dr. Ernest Evans: Crime Patterns in KCMO, 2014-2016

In 2014 KCMO had one of the lowest levels of homicides in its history: a total of 82. Of these 82 homicides, 51 were black people and 31 were white/Asian/Hispanic. Homicides increased in 2015, but only in the black neighborhoods of the city: In 2015 there were 111 homicides, 80 black and 31 white/Asian/Hispanic. And, as of Nov. 19, 2016, this pattern of an increase in black homicides while other races remain constant appears to be continuing: So far in 2016 there have been 108 homicides in KCMO: 85 black people and 23 white/Asian/Hispanic.

This appears to be consistent with national crime patterns. There was a large increase in homicides in 2015 over 2014--about 11%, the largest one year change in homicide totals since the increase in 1968 over 1967. And, a massively disproportionate share of this increase nationally in 2015 over 2014 was due to an increased number of black homicide victims.

The fact that most of the crime increase in the past two years comes in the form of additional black victims argues against the idea that the crime surge is due to easy availability of guns. Guns are just as common among whites, Asians and Hispanics are they are in black neighborhoods, but there has been so similar surge in homicides in these neighborhoods. The most likely explanation for the surge in violence in the nation's black neighborhoods is what FBI Director James Comey calls "The Ferguson Effect."
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You decide  . . .

Comments

  1. TKC, I know that you put an emphasis on stats on your blog. That is your prerogative but sometimes numbers don't tell the whole story. We need to dig deeper and ask about what other factors encourage violence in our community and how we can use this knowledge to curb crime. That's the discussion that we really need to have.

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  2. The heart that wants to kill will always find a way.
    Be it gun, knife, bow & arrow, or poison.

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  3. Thank you Dr. Evans for this research. We need to understand that facts and realize that efforts to take away guns are misguided and have other motives.

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  4. 4:43 When will it end? When will you lefty whack jobs stop with the worn our trope, that "Crime is caused" and realize, that "Crime is Committed"?

    PLEASE! PLEASE don't trot out the same old "Poverty causes crime" shit.

    Here is an article that thoroughly refutes that worn our leftist cant.

    https://cincinnatiisadump.wordpress.com/2013/07/29/crime-is-caused-by-poverty-enter-white-appalacha/

    A quote, if I may...

    "Newsflash: The Top 10 Poorest Counties in America are in Appalachia and populated By Whites.

    Folks, this is REAL Poverty seen below, as in no subsidized vouchers to pay for modern forced Central Air (HVAC) with which to set at 85F in the dead of winter paid for by tax payers, but (Whites) Living with NO power or running water, and using stoves that burn wood or coal for heat. No government supplied vouchers are sent to Appalachian families to burn said wood either.

    Not many Section 8 vouchers either for that matter, in this neck of the woods. Majority White West Virginia is much safer than majority black Mississippi, despite being one of the poorest states in America. West Virginia is the 2nd poorest state (behind only Mississippi), the 4th whitest state at 93.9% white, and is the 13th safest state vs Mississippi which America’s Most Dangerous State at 40% Black, the highest percentage in America. This indicates that race is a better predictor of crime."

    Read the whole article, it is eye opening, if, your eyes are not swollen shut from a "Knockout Game" attack.

    The necrotic, violent black sub culture, lionized, glorified and worshipped by the MSM, politicians, Academia, Hollywood and most importantly, young black thugs, is categorically what causes violent crime.

    Dr. Evans' premise, that that same criminality is exacerbated by "The Ferguson Effect" is dead on the money.

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  5. ^^^ Absolutely agree. Look at the statistics and they tell a story that most of the public isn't ready to deal with.

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  6. The overwhelming dilemma is that most of these homicides tend to be the kitchen table and couch murders. These homicides are not about hit men, robbers and gang thugs, but more about a bunch of ginned up relatives, friends and lovers getting worked up over stupid shit and offing each other in the heat of personal situations. I don't care if you have ten thousand cops on the streets these kinds of killings will continue to go undeterred without behavioural and value changes that raise the seriousness of the consequences in the minds of these folks. No one gets even with anyone when you have a house full of dead kids, a dead girlfriend/babymomma and your ass is going bye bye.

    Now figure out how to get people to stop thinking like fucking animals and you might be on the path to reducing these numbers that no community program seems to touch or address.

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  7. Just this week the chief wrote a blog that he can't do anything about homicides. How is hat true? Didn't he take credit for the reduction of homicides in 2014. He took victory laps and patted himself on the back for his good work. Th city needs a new chief, he has no idea what he is doing. The city needs to fire him! Has anyone from the council even asked tre department what in the hell they are doing?

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  8. FIRE FORTE. VOTE NO CONFIDENCE!!! LIAR!!!

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  9. I say we need to bring back the community engagement officers. Never should have dumped them in the first place.

    we need to reach out and make our community better.

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  10. Is that MFer holding a bag of chips?

    Good for him. multitasking is a good thing.

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  11. 6:34, that is not true. Chief Forte identified some homicides that the KCPD were powerless to prevent. He did not say that the KCPD could do nothing about ALL homicides.

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  12. 5:04 presents some facts you can't ignore no matter what color your skin happens to be.

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  13. It's not the "Ferguson Effect", it's the nigger effect. Happens every time...

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  14. KCPD is full of shit.

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  15. Tony's Kansas City is Kansas City's best fake news blog.

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  16. Fuck James Comey and fuck Earnest Evans a cop sucker if there ever was one.

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