CRAIG GLAZER CONSIDERS SUPER BOWL ODDS FOR KANSAS CITY CHIEFS!!!
TKC NOTE: This might be one of the GREATEST sports posts Craig has ever written and we're excited to see how it plays out!!! Check it:
Are Chiefs Super?
Bowl? I mean
It’s hard to admit you were wrong. So, I’m stating for the record that I under-rated our Kansas City Chiefs for this season. It’s a mistake I am glad to have made. Even for doubters like me, it’s a lot more fun to look forward to Sundays when you know you are watching a playoff team, i. e. the Kansas City Chiefs. We have to go back to Marty Schottenheimer and his 1997 squad to remember the last time we had a legitimate playoff team. Yes, I am well aware the Chiefs made the playoffs after that season a handful of times. None of those teams were legit and a couple actually stunk by the end of the season. The most notable stinker was our phony 2003 team that started off 9 and 0. By season’s end I ranked them as one of the ten worst teams in the NFL. True, they had a very strong offense, but unfortunately the worst modern day defense I’ve ever seen in the league. Shawnee Mission East could have scored against that horrible defense. The other big stinker was the 2010 Matt Cassel/Todd Haley Western Division Champions at 10 and 6. By season’s end I ranked them as one of the five worst teams in the NFL. As you saw that season, they closed with a team that could neither score nor defend. They literally had nothing but Jamaal Charles and Baltimore ran over them in their one playoff game. All these teams were clown shows.
Enter Andy Reid, Alex Smith, Donnie Avery and a rejuvenated defense. Oh, what a difference a year makes. I saw the 2013 team as one who would win between 6 and 9 games. My final pick was seven wins. I’m glad to report it now looks like a team that will win ten plus games. In fact, barring injury to their quarterback or Charles, they are a nearly sure playoff team.
NFL power rankings have Kansas City as high as the 6th best team in the league. This is the highest ranking they’ve had since the phony 2003 season. Good news for KC, the Chiefs will face a horrible New York Giants team come this Sunday at home. In fact, our Chiefs are already a four and a half point favorite. Eli Manning and his Giants are desperate. A recent two-time Super Bowl Championship team has fallen on hard times. They have perhaps the worst running game in the NFL and their offensive line is in shambles. If the Chiefs play defense anywhere near as well as they have been, they should have a field day with Manning. Look for four or more sacks from our defense. Alex Smith and company should be able to score at least three touchdowns. The below average Carolina Panthers put up 38 points over the Giants while they shut them out. Oh what a difference a couple years make.
So, are the Chiefs a Super Bowl contender? At this point with a victory over the Giants, the answer is a loud yes. True, we are in the Division as the best team in the American League if not the NFL, the Denver Broncos. Barring serious injury, the Broncos should win 13 or more games. KC has probable losses to Denver twice, the Colts at KC, a loss to the Chargers on the road, and a couple scary games on the road with the Bills and a home game with Houston which is a coin flip right now. We all know things change as the season moves on, but it would appear KC should win 11 games. To make the math simpler, let’s say KC beats the Giants Sunday for their fourth win and then goes .500 from there, they would be ten and six. More than likely, that puts them in the playoffs as a wild card. If this defense holds up and our offense gets just a little bit better, this team could be dangerous in the post season.
As of today, I would rank the AFC this way; Denver, New England, Baltimore, Kansas City, Miami, and Houston. Not a bad place to be.
Let’s not all run out and get our playoff tickets quite yet. You might want to save up though, starting with a victory over the Giants.
I am well aware of the deficiencies on both sides of the line right now. Let’s look at the defense: the Chiefs continue to give up way too many big plays. I still question our secondary when it goes up against elite quarterbacks. Most notably, the Chiefs top defender against the pass, Brandon Flowers, has been vulnerable on several deep throws against him. He is not a shutdown corner. Surprisingly, there have also been too many big break runs right up the middle of our defensive line. However, for the first time since the nineties, the Chiefs are making big plays on defense. Sacks, interceptions, fumble recoveries. This has been a big difference this season. Offense: While both our running and passing attack have been slightly above average, Alex Smith is a smart quarterback and has no turnovers. That’s huge. While Dwayne Bowe has been helpful as a pass blocker, he continues to fail to get separation from his defenders. As of today, Bowe is an average receiver; Donny Avery is your number one receiver. The key to the offense, clearly, is Jamaal Charles. Everything goes through him. We have no other quality running back at this time. That’s scary. The tight end situation is at best average if everyone is healthy.
In conclusion, this team is on the verge of being really good. As explained above, they need to improve in these areas one full step and then yes, they are a Super Bowl contender. So far, as you have seen, my college and pro picks have been awfully good even with all the upsets. It sure is fun to have a winning team to watch on Sundays. Let’s hope it continues. Follow me on Twitter @KCKingofSting.